2010-11 Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions and Odds

The Montreal Canadiens improbable playoff run last season raises a few questions. How did Montreal manage to win two Game 7s on the road, one against top-seed Washington and another against defending Stanley Cup Champion Pittsburgh? Where had that Montreal team been all regular season when it struggled just to get into the postseason? And then how did that same Montreal team get blown away by No. 7 seed Philadelphia in five games?

And, of course, the question most pertinent to this season, why is the hero of those playoffs, Jaroslav Halak, now suiting up for the St. Louis Blues?

The answer to the latter question is Carey Price. The 23-year old netminder signed a two-year contract extension in early September this year. Montreal is putting their faith in the netminder for the second season in a row. Price was the No. 1 goalie last season, but as the season wore on Halak began to handle more and more games before completely taking over in February and in the playoffs where Price only saw one game of action.

More so than any other team in the NHL, the situation in net could define this Montreal season. Behind Price will be veteran Alex Auld, who presents an ideal situation. The 29-year-old is a veteran and capable backup, but his job is to spell Price at times, not to have Price constantly looking over his shoulder. Auld has played 20-plus games in a season four times with four different teams, and the plan is for him to see around 20 starts this season.

The pressure will be on prospect Lars Eller to produce on either the second or third line. The pressure to produce comes from the fact that Eller was one of the pieces St. Louis sent to Montreal in exchange for Halak.

Tomas Pelkanec returned to his 2007-08 form last season when he scored 25 goals and added 45 assists. While Pelkanec was producing, center Scott Gomez was regressing. His 12 goals were the fewest since his third season in New Jersey. His 59 points were the fourth lowest of his 10-year career.

The Montreal Canadiens schedule opens at Toronto on Thursday, Oct. 7 and then they return to Pittsburgh, where they closed down Mellon Arena for good back in May. Montreal has one of the longest road swings in the NHL with a seven-game trip in late December that winds from Colorado to the East Coast and to Florida. Montreal gets its rematch against Philadelphia when it plays the Flyers twice in a four-game span in late November.

Offseason Moves
Losing Halak and gaining Auld is by no means a wash for Montreal. but when considering what Auld will be asked to do this move has the potential of helping the goalie situation. Eller and left winger Ian Schulz represent the return for Halak, and both have received high marks in training camp so far. Forwards Sergei Kostitsyn (Nashville) and Gregory Stewart (Edmonton ) and defenseman Shawn Belle (Edmonton) were the major notable departures from Montreal in the offseason.

Montreal Canadiens Predictions: Outlook
Montreal has the makeup of a playoff team, but to improve on its No. 8 seed from last season it will have to improve on an offense that averaged 2.6 goals per game last season (25th in the league). The Habs hope they have the postseason-like efforts of Mike Cammalleri, who scored 13 goals in 21 games compared to the regular season when he scored only 26 goals all season. The Halak trade could end up being addition by subtraction in the goalie situation and expect Montreal to resemble the team we all remember for their unprecedented playoff run last season and not the one who barely snuck into the playoffs.

Montreal Canadiens Futures Odds
Montreal’s NHL betting odds to return to the Eastern Conference finals are +700. To win the Northeast Division Montreal is listed at +400. Their odds to win the Eastern Conference are +1400 and their odds to win the Stanley Cup, +2500. The Habs ‘over/under’ for total season wins is 40.5. Odds are courtesy of BetUS.

NHL Predictions for Montreal Canadiens
Their playoff run was not a fluke last season. Montreal has the personnel in place to make another run. They won 39 games last season and an improvement should be expected, so take ‘over’ 40.5 wins.

Doc Moseman is one of the pioneers of the NHL handicapping industry. Check out his Web site for up-to-the-minute NHL Odds and his famous winning hockey picks.

Fantasy Baseball 2009

Well, the season is just under one week away which means fantasy baseball season is fast approaching. Drafts have already started and leagues are starting to form. The popularity of fantasy baseball has absolutely exploded over the past couple of years. Everyone seems to be joining in on the fun. I recently saw a news story somewhere about how women were increasingly becoming part of the fantasy sports scene. I absolutely love fantasy baseball. It gives me a chance to prepare for the upcoming season and take a look at what happened last year statistically.

I have to admit that I have done more mock drafts than I can count so far this spring. I love putting together a baseball team and competing with other users on a fantasy baseball website. I primarily use Yahoo! to play fantasy baseball but I have been experimenting with ESPN as well as MLB.com. I find it incredibly entertaining to put together a fantasy team from scratch. So one thing I wanted to talk about was a suggestion on how to draft a team. I am in no way a fantasy baseball expert but I do have my own strategy that has worked for me in the past. First off, I want to start by saying that I believe Jose Reyes is the single most overrated player in fantasy baseball.

Yes he is a 5 category fantasy player but his average, power, and RBI potential are not worth a first round pick in my opinion. I realize that shortstop is a very scarce position but I am not willing to blow a first round pick on a shortstop other than Hanley Ramirez. I would much rather use my first round pick, especially early in the draft, on a power hitter that will hit for a ton of average, home runs, and RBIs. Albert Pujols is the single most consistent hitter in the major leagues and I would much rather take him than most other players. However, my absolute favorite spot in a fantasy draft in a 10 team league is the 6-8 spots and in a 12 team league I like the 8-10 picks. You can still get an incredible player at the top (especially since someone will probably waste a pick on Reyes and I have even seen Chase Utley go in the first round or very early second round) and you then you get an early second round pick right after that.

What I have found myself doing is being able to grab someone like Miguel Cabrera (who might win the AL MVP this year) and then turn around and grab someone like Lance Berkman or Carlos Lee and every once in awhile Mark Teixeira will drop down to the 14th or so pick and I can grab him also. There are plenty of players that can fill in for speed. The most important pick for me in the third round pick this year where I completely and totally zone in on Carlos Beltran. I think that he is underrated and he is ranked around 25th overall in fantasy baseball. The guy is a solid and consistent 5 category player. I sit back and watch people draft pitchers with some first and second round picks.

This is where some conflict comes up when I talk to people during mock drafts. For me, pitchers are so much more volatile than position players. People with the last first round pick and the first second round pick have consistently been picking Johan Santana and Tim Lincecum back to back. Now of course they are going to have the best one two punch of any rotation in the league, but for me health among pitchers is much more of a concern than position players. Plus, a top tier position player is going to play around 160 games when fully healthy and a starting pitcher is only going to make 30-35 starts in a season. I honestly wait until around round six or seven before I start drafting pitchers.

You can put together a very good staff late in drafts if you know what you are doing. I have been getting pitchers like Chad Billingsley, Javier Vazquez (who should be fantastic in the NL), and Yovani Gallardo after the 8th round. That is going to be three ERAs around 3.50, WHIPs around 1.20, wins around 15, and strikeouts around 200. That is a devastating 1-3 on starters. Oh, and I literally laugh hysterically when people blow their fourth or fifth round pick on Papelbon. Why do people slobber all over one category pitchers? Closer is the single most unpredictable and volatile position in fantasy baseball. We saw teams switching closers all the time last year and I was able to not draft a single closer in one of my leagues yet finished 7th out of 12 in saves last year. Granted 7th out of 12 is not that great but considering the number of saves I got off the waiver wire and free agency it just goes to show how quickly and how many closers can lose their jobs.

This year I have been taking Brian Wilson as well as Matt Lindstrom very late. Usually around round 18. My lineup is usually mostly filled out by the time I start drafting pitchers in the 8th or 9th rounds. Like I said before I absolutely love doing fantasy drafts and playing against family and friends or complete strangers. If any of you who read this would be interested in starting a league for fun or just talking about fantasy baseball in general feel free to head on over to the forums page and post your thoughts and/or if you are interested in starting a league and playing against each other and other members of this site. Fantasy baseball is one of those things that I feel like anyone who loves baseball will enjoy. It gives you a chance to analyze statistics of certain players, teams, ballparks, and any number of other factors.

For instance, Matt Holliday was one of the best players in the Major Leagues while he was in Colorado. Now he is in Oakland and it will be interesting to see what will happen to his numbers moving from hitter friendly Coors Field to the pitcher friendly stadium out in Oakland.

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