How to Choose an NFL Handicapper

An NFL handicapper is responsible for picking winners of football games. But this is not where their responsibilities end. They must pick winners often enough that they can make their clients a profit. This means, with a typical -110 line on spread bets, that they must be correct 52.8 percent of the time or more. This is much more difficult than it sounds. Spread bets are 50 / 50 wagers, and the house has an edge because you must pay more than $ 100 to win $ 100. In order to win $ 100, you must bet $ 110, thus giving the sports book an edge, and a profit, over the long term.

Putting the difficulty of selecting winning spreads aside, an NFL handicapper has many other responsibilities. The best handicapping professionals will help their clients to allocate their funds in a way that maximizes profit. Just as a financial planner helps their clients maximize savings, a handicapper gives their clients advice on the best approach to wagering their money.

This can be done a number of ways, the most prevalent being a diversification of wagering money. This is another concept borrowed from the world of investing. Just as a savvy investor will diversify their portfolio to minimize risk, a good sports bettor has a number of different betting strategies that allows them to maximize profit and minimize risk. This can be done by looking at the different types of wagers that sports books offer. Money line bets on favorites are the least risky of these wagers and multi-team parlays and teasers are the riskier bets. Because these riskier bets include the outcome of several different events, and will only pay if you are correct with each and every selection you make, parlays and teasers are the riskiest of the wagers that you will make.

Just as you would allocate funds in a smart and efficient manner when it comes to the stock market, you will want your NFL handicapper to do the same for your betting capital. Most of your money should be going to the less risky, and therefore lesser paying, wagers. Spread bets and money line bets should account for the majority of your betting, just as you would invest in blue chip stocks and government bonds. But as you know, this is not enough for smart bettors and investors. You want to have the potential for large gains as well. So in addition to the safe bets, you will want to have the sports betting world’s equivalent of developing nation stock market investments. As stated earlier, this comes in the form of parlays and teasers. These should account for only a small percentage of your betting capital because you will not win these bets very often. But one or two big wins per NFL season will more than likely be enough to make these bets worthwhile. Your NFL handicapper should be able to steer you in this direction.

JV Sports is a top NFL handicapper.

Nfl Tickets – Week 11 Top 10

Here are the Top 10 teams in the National Football League as I see them heading into Week 11 of the 2010 season:

1. New England Patriots: Chalk their Week 9 loss up as an aberration and simply a let-down game. The Patriots showed their true colors against the Steelers last week, trouncing Pittsburgh at Heinz Field. Tom Brady showed a lot of emotion in the game; if he’s locked in, the rest of the league better watch out.

2. Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons are the number one team in ESPN’s rankings, but I just don’t buy them as the best team in the league. There’s a huge cluster of quality teams that could conceivably win the Super Bowl this season. Basically any of these 10 teams could win and I wouldn’t be all that surprised. I’m forced to rank Atlanta this high, but I think their defense will eventually fail them.

3. Philadelphia Eagles: I am drinking the Michael Vick Kool Aid. I am completely buying into this team with Vick at the helm. His Monday Night Football performance was one of the most impressive showings I’ve ever seen out of an individual player. What a story this is becoming. If I could get NFL tickets to see any one player, how could I pick anyone other than Michael Vick?

4. New York Jets: I’m not a big believer in the Jets, but they deserve this ranking for now. However, they’ve barely beaten a number of sub-par teams and their luck has to run out sooner or later. That said, if their defense can get to the point it was at last season and Mark Sanchez can avoid mistakes, this club could be for real.

5. Baltimore Ravens: The Ravens nearly pulled out the win against the Falcons on Thursday night and Joe Flacco showed us again that he’s becoming one of the more clutch signal callers in the league. If the defense can right the ship, the Ravens could do some serious damage.

6. Pittsburgh Steelers: The Steelers need to get back to running the ball; I can’t stress that enough. The team was 3-1 when they went with a run-heavy attack without Ben Roethlisberger early in the season, but are just 3-2 since Big Ben has returned. The sooner they realize that Rashard Mendenhall is their best offensive player the better.

7. New York Giants: The Giants might have overlooked the Dallas Cowboys, but keep in mind that Dallas is still a really talented club that was motivated by the coaching change. I still believe in the Giants.

8. New Orleans Saints: The Saints are coming, mark my words. The team is coming off a restful bye week and should be getting Reggie Bush back this week. The defense is coming alive and Marques Colston has finally woken up. I think they’re going to win the NFC South.

9. Indianapolis Colts: The Colts didn’t look great against the Bengals, but they got the job done. They’re getting healthy and could have a deep playoff run in them.

10. Green Bay Packers: The Packers come out of their bye looking solid. They’re in great position to win the NFC North, as I’m not buying into the Bears.

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